ANNEX II : 1

CAMBODIA : KEY MACRO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Projections for 2006-2010
 

 

Particulars

2005e

2006p

2007p

2008p

2009p

2010p

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP (constant prices) Bn. Riels

19,294

20,452

21,679

22,936

24,290

25,747

Real GDP - % increase

7.0

6.0

6.0

5.8

5.9

6.0

Inflation in Riels (%)

6.2

3.5

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Mln)

216

227

249

274

302

332.0

Gross Foreign Reserves (mths of import)

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.6

2.8

3.0

Riel/US$ Parity(exchange rate)

4,128

4,219

4,228

4,278

4,328

4,378

Exports (US$ million)

2,707

2,931

3,172

3,395

3,643

3,918

Imports (US$ million)

3,738

4,169

4,513

4,827

5,172

5,527

Current Account Balance (% of GDP)

-4.1

-5.4

-4.9

-4.0

-3.3

-2.6

(including official transfers)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fiscal Sector (% of GDP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Budget Revenue

11.8

12.2

12.8

13.2

13.5

13.8

   Tax Revenue

8.7

9.4

9.4

9.4

9.3

9.2

   Non-Tax Revenue

2.5

2.6

2.6

2.6

2.7

2.7

Budget Expenditure

14.9

17.0

17.2

17.1

16.9

16.5

Capital Expenditure

5.3

6.6

6.6

6.3

6.2

5.9

Current Expenditure

9.6

10.5

10.7

10.7

10.7

10.8

Current Balance

1.6

1.5

2.0

2.3

2.6

2.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP at Constant 2000 prices by Economic Activity (Annual % change)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry

4.5

3.4

3.7

3.7

3.8

3.8

Crops

8.0

3.5

4.0

4.0

4.0

4.0

Livestock & Poultry

4.0

4.0

4.5

4.5

5.0

5.0

Fisheries

0.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Forestry & Logging

0.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

Industry

10.7

9.1

8.1

7.1

7.2

7.3

Mining

9.0

9.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

Manufacturing

10.2

8.6

8.2

6.8

6.9

7.1

     Food, Beverages & Tobacco

2.0

4.0

4.1

4.5

4.5

4.5

     Textile, Wearing Apparel & Footwear

13.0

10.0

9.0

7.0

7.0

7.0

     Wood, Paper & Publishing

2.0

2.0

3.0

3.0

4.0

4.0

     Rubber Manufacturing

(5.0)

0.0

2.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

     Other Manufacturing

3.0

5.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

12.0

Electricity, Gas and Water

4.5

6.0

7.0

7.0

7.0

7.0

Construction

13.0

11.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

Services

6.3

6.0

6.6

6.8

7.1

7.1

Trade

5.0

5.0

5.0

5.0

6.0

6.0

Hotel & Restaurants

15.0

10.0

10.0

10.0

10.0

10.0

Transport & Communications

5.0

6.0

7.0

7.0

7.0

7.0

Finance

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

Public Administration

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Real Estate & Business

4.0

5.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

Other Services

6.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

 Source: IMF (unless otherwise indicated)


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