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CHAPTER II |
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PROGRESS IN 2006 AND FUTURE STRATEGIES AND PROSPECTS |
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2.01 As affirmed in the NSDP, RGC attaches high priority and is firmly and fully committed to national sovereignty, peace and national reconciliation, stability and social order, democracy and protection of human rights, and sustainable development that will accelerate progress, prosperity, harmony, and enhance the living standards and dignity for Cambodians in all walks of life. In steadfastly pursuing these goals it will strictly adhere to the main objectives, principles, strategies, programmes and plans already clearly outlined in the NSDP1 unless there is specific need. 2.02 Using the Rectangular Strategy, this chapter2:
2.03 This chapter provides only a macro overview of critical developments, strategies and vital actions ahead. It is intended to be a broad guide, not detailed listing of all work being done or to be done by ministries and agencies. More and clearer details could be found in Sectoral Strategic Development Plans and the progress reports on the implementation of those plans. It should be noted that many goals to be achieved are essentially quantitative. Qualitative aspects though critical cannot be easily measured but over time could be experienced and would manifest themselves through improvements in various ways. 2.04 Poverty: Keeping rapid poverty alleviation and eventual eradication in clear and central focus, accent will continue to be made on creating more opportunities to the poor to come into the mainstream of contributors and participants and in providing more and better health care, educational facilities, improved incomes through rural activities (farm and non-farm), improved rural infrastructure, and so on. More funds should devolve to these areas through the Commune and Sangkat development fund and other measures. Achievement of progress to reduce poverty, a crosscutting issue, depends on the totality of pro-poor policies and efforts in all other sectors as already stated in the NSDP3. 2.05 RGC will continue to emphasise actions that would result in significant gains at the grass roots level where it matters most to the ordinary citizen and for speedy reduction of poverty. Accordingly, RGC will pursue broad strategies and actions outlined in the NSDP4 and which will be central to and govern all aspects of its work in the next few years. 2.06 The Rectangular Strategy (RS) "for growth, employment, equity and efficiency", provides a clear and focused framework to move the country forward on the path to fast socio-economic development. It contains at its core Good Governance which will be promoted and pursued in an encircling Environment for its successful implementation, for the purpose of achieving speedy socio-economic progress in various priority areas listed under four other "growth" rectangles. There are therefore six (6) aspects of the strategy5. The rest of this chapter is organised along the flow of RS as was done in the NSDP. Core of the Rectangle Strategy: Good Governance 2.07 Good public governance, at the core of RS, postulates equitable and fair public participation in all matters through consultation, democratic methods of ensuring that the will and choices of the majority are adopted and implemented at the same time ensuring protection of the rights and welfare of the minority. Political stability, internal security and safety, adherence to the rule of law, and transparency, predictability and accountability of public institutions are vital for orderly economic and human progress and to safeguard the public gains from being eroded by disruptive forces. In this regard, it is noteworthy that:
2.08 To promote, ensure and sustain good governance as the most important pre-condition for achieving sustainable socio-economic development with equity, equal opportunity and social justice, four governance reform areas, viz., (a) fighting corruption, (b) legal and judicial reforms, (c) public administration reform including decentralisation and deconcentration, and (d) reform of the armed forces, especially demobilisation, continue to remain central to the RGC’s reform agenda and to the national efforts to reduce poverty levels among Cambodians. The major developments in 2006 are:
Environment for the Implementation of the Rectangular Strategy 2.09 Four aspects of this enveloping circle are: (a) Peace, political stability and social order; (b) Integration of Cambodia into the region and the world; (c) Partnership in development; and (d) Favourable macro-economic and financial management. In addition, some critical crosscutting aspects are also considered as part of the overall environment for progress. 2.10 Peace, political stability and social order constitute the fundamental basis on which any sustainable progress can take place. In addition to the constitutional changes referred to at para 2.07 above, the precious post-conflict reconciliation, democracy, social order and reduction in crime achieved in the past through dialogue and mutual adjustments are being enhanced; safety and security all over Cambodia have strengthened; all efforts are being made to ensure that second commune elections due in 2007 are conducted in a peaceful, inclusive, free and fair manner. 2.11 Integration of Cambodia into the region and the world: On the regional and sub-regional levels, apart from its involvement in ASEAN, Cambodia is an active participant in various other cooperation initiatives and frameworks, such as Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM), Asia Cooperation Dialogue (ACD), Greater Mekong Sub-Region (GMS), Ayeyawardi-Chaopraya-Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS), Cambodia-Lao-Myanmar-Vietnam (CLMV) cooperation and Cambodian-Lao-Vietnam (CLV) Development Triangle. Cambodia accords equal importance to its active participation and cooperation in all international bodies. The Cambodia’s accession to the World Trade Organisation (TWO) has revealed that Cambodia has been prepared to take part in global economic activities. The participation of Cambodia in regional and international affairs not only enhances the Cambodia’s political and economic prestige but also significantly contributes to keeping safety, security and peace in the region as well as the world. A major goal of these efforts is to mmaximise the benefits arising from the integration of Cambodia into the region and the world with the aim of achieving RGC’s priority goals and strategies to reduce poverty rapidly in Cambodia. Much more efforts however have to be made to deepen, and benefit from, the integration process. 2.12 Partnership in development: The three (3) basic aspects of partnership between RGC and other stakeholders are relations with (1) civil society; (2) private sector; and (3) external development partners. In this regard:
2.13 Relations with external development partners: RGC gratefully acknowledges that generous levels of financial and technical assistance received from EDPs since 1993 have in a large measure helped Cambodia's impressive progress. It is clear that as an LDC the country will continue to need such support for quite a length of time in the future as it moves forward towards its long-term vision. During 2006, important developments were:
2.14 Macro-Economic and Financial Environment: The macro-economic data assumed for 2005 as the base year for NSDP, 2006-2010 underwent dramatic upward changes due to more precise assessments made after finalisation of the NSDP. Among the most notable factors are:
2.15 GDP growth is estimated at a high 10.8% during 2006 over and above the high surge in 2005. Inflation will be contained at 4.7%. Progressive, prudent and strict budgetary policies both on the revenue and expenditure sides increased government revenues to 11.5% of GDP from 10.6% in 2005 and expenditure to 13.8% from 13.3% in 2005. The exchange rate remained stable at a US$ to about 4,103 Riels. There has been a gradual progress in management of state assets including tangible and intangible properties, as well as state enterprises and joint ventures in a transparent and efficient manner both to safeguard the interests of the state and to enhance steady flow of revenues. Measures were put in place to have a strict rule and regulation in order to follow clear, transparent, public bidding procedures in disposal or lease of state property or rights, indeed in award of all state contracts. The year 2006 was observed as Year of Micro Finance and conferences and workshops on micro finance were organised with the aim of promoting better understanding and improving the efficiency of micro-finance institutions and enhancing the public knowledge of this sector.
Table 2.1: Key Macroeconomic Data8
Sources: Ministry of Economy and Finance 2.16 The long term goal continues to be to achieve more diverse and pro-poor economic growth. The already achieved macroeconomic stability has played a major role in providing the foundation for the very strong growth that has been achieved in Cambodia in recent years, and consequently for poverty reduction and will be sustained and strengthened in the future. With confidence and experience gained in successfully managing the economic scenario even during externally imposed economic factors such as the East Asia crisis in 1997, the massive structural and external changes that have taken place since then, and high oil prices during 2004 and 2005, every expectation that macro-economic projections outlined above will be fully reached and benefits become widespread to alleviate poverty. Among other major measures being pursued are:
2.17 RGC is well aware that, based on experiences the world over and on its own past experience, high economic growth as anticipated above would continue to be driven by market impulses, opportunities, compulsions and constraints. Growth induces changes from known and tested economic situations and calls for continuing structural adjustments in population and the economy. Skills tend to be created to meet emerging market demands sometimes skewing the higher and vocational education system which ideally should cater to creating a wide variety of skills to serve the nation in the long term. By now, the garment industry, construction and tourism constitute the growth areas. Although these bases for growth are very welcome in the sense of creating employment for a large number of people, such dependence on only a few sectors come with implications in regard to long-term economic sustainability. Policy implications need to focus on the following important issues among others:
2.18 Conscious of these and other attendant factors of changes which are necessary corollaries of economic growth, RGC will continue to keep a constant vigil as development progresses and will use pro-active policy instruments and incentives to diversify growth sectorally and geographically and will provide safety nets to ensure that already marginalized people are not further marginalized and rendered more vulnerable. The strategies envisaged for various sectors as mentioned in the following paragraphs and in Chapter III address these matters. 2.19 Religious and cultural issues are the bedrock for building, strengthening, and maintaining the very vital "social capital" that no amount of economic development can alone create or sustain. GC continues to accord high priority to preserving and enhancing the country's rich and unique cultural heritage both to preserve and develop the social fabric and also to attract "cultural tourists" to observe and admire Cambodia's past and present culture. Rectangle 1: Enhancement of Agricultural Sector 2.20 The four sides of this rectangle are: (a) improving and diversifying agricultural sector (including nutrition and rural development); (b) land reform and mine clearance; (c) fisheries reform; and (d) forestry reform (including environment protection). Continued RGC’s efforts in mitigating anarchic deeds depleting natural resources and environment and in rehabilitating and enhancing irrigation potentials and favourable weather conditions have marked a significant progress in this sector in 2006. 2.21 In 2006, improved irrigation system, good weather conditions, use of improved seeds, and improved farm practices contributed to directly enhance crop production and indirectly to ensure food security, enhancing productivity and diversification. Improved rural transportation infrastructure has enabled more market access for agricultural products. The above-cited favourable conditions and increased applications of system of rice intensification (SRI) and organic farming methods have resulted in an increase in rice production, increasing by nearly 5% in farming period 2006-2007 compared to 2005-2006 (5.98 million tons in 2005 and 6.26 million tons in 2006). Other crops in particular cash crops production experienced a slight increase in 2006. Rehabilitating and enhancing irrigation potentials will continue to remain a high priority for the development of crop cultivation in Cambodia. A comprehensive Strategy for the Agricultural Sector as a whole is still to be developed. This Strategy will be finalised during the first quarter of 2007. The priority strategies in this sector for the plan period, 2006-2010, has been appropriately pursued. 2.22 Strengthening and enlarging animal production and animal husbandry and veterinary services will continue develop at a slow rate in the couples of years based on the recent development trend. This sub sector will remain crucial to the enhancement of agricultural sector as a whole. 2.23 In 2006, efforts have been actively pursued in managing fishery sector under the framework of fishery reform with considerable achievements including preparation and amendment of regulations to enforce the law on the establishment of fishery communities, development of aquaculture, researches, conservation, crackdown on illegal fishing, and extension, etc. To ensure sustainable access to fisheries resources for the poor will remain a major goal of the RGC in poverty reduction. In this regard, the five NSDP priorities articulated for this sub sector will have to be pursued in an efficient manner. 2.24 Overall food security situation has improved significantly in the last few years. The CDHS found reduction in malnutrition in children under 5 years from 45% in 2000 to 37% in 2005 but progress has been uneven among provinces. Concerted and targeted efforts in various sectors will ensure that "poor and food-insecure Cambodians, by 2010, have substantially improved physical and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food at all times to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life". The progress so far made in increasing and ensuring food availability, improving food accessibility, and ensuring optimal food use and utilisation through health and nutrition education, micronutrient supplementation and fortification programmes (iron, Vitamin A), further enforcement of universal iodisation and food safety standards, etc, would be sustained for achieving the above-mentioned goal. In 2006, a “National Programme on Household Food Security and Poverty Reduction” was implemented in 180 target villages. 2.25 Efforts made in pursing forestry reform have significantly contributed to maintain the forest coverage in the last few years. The forest coverage has been estimated to be around 59% in 2006. Continued efforts in sustainable forest protection and management as well as in reforestation have also contributed to maintain the forest coverage up to 60% of the total land areas of the country in 2015 as targeted in CMDG. 2.26 Significant progress has been made in environmental protection and conservation. In 2006, three eco-tourism destinations have been established and two more destinations are being developed. In addition, more fishery communities in multi-purpose use areas and Tonlé Sap Lake and protected area communities have been set up and are contributing to drastic reduction in earth-filling of natural bodies of water and prevention illegal land encroachments and forest depletion. In addition to the land areas of 723 hectares taken back in 2005, RGC took back many illegally-occupied lands covering 2,455 hectares in protected areas in 2006. Till 2006, 77 protected area communities have been established and among those 8 communities were formed in 2006. The boundaries of 16 protected areas have been marked till 2006 and out of them 2 were done in 2006, and the official mapping of these protected areas has been conducted. However, environmental protection and the natural resource management continue to face constraints in regard to institutional and legal framework in particular the weak coordination among concerned agencies and authorities. The management of factory solid and liquid wastes has been improved contributing to reduction in their environmental impact. 2.27 Land reforms will continue to receive high priority for poverty reduction and socio-economic development. Accent will be on providing clear, incontestable, legal land ownership titles to provide security of tenure to those in actual use of the land they occupy. The challenges are to control and curb further land concentration in few hands, including review of already granted large concessions exceeding limits under the 2001 land law, where land is still lying fallow and unproductive. Major efforts in attaining this priority and in overcoming these challenges are:
2.28 Continued efforts in de-mining operations have contributed to improve social and economic conditions of poor farming households in remote areas and to promote rural development. The 2006 De-mining and UXO de-fusing or destruction operations has increased mine-free land areas from 30,263 hectares (NSDP estimated figure: 32.974 hectares) in 2005 to 35,436 hectares in 2006. The number of human casualties has decreased by 50%, i.e., from 2005 actual figure of 875 (NSDP-estimated figure: 797) to 440 in 2006. The land areas rendered mine-free have been converted for social and economic purposes such as cropping areas, residential areas, and different social and economic infrastructures. Table 2.2: Targets set for 2010 for the Agriculture Sector
2.29 Rural Development10, as a vital ingredient for enhancement of agriculture and poverty reduction, is cross-sectoral and also a priority activity for budget allocations and disbursement. It was thus selected for 2007 as a priority sector among other 6 priority sectors of the RGC under the pilot of the Public Financial Reform. Provision and enhancement of rural infrastructure, enhancement of health and sanitation in rural areas, and development of rural economy are the main activities in this sector and will continue to remain as the priorities and challenges ahead.
2.30 Rural infrastructure: In 2006, 92 new roads with the length of 264 km were constructed; 44 roads of 707 km were repaired; and 118 roads of 822 km were maintained. 70 small bridges and 160 culverts were built. In addition, 17 new school buildings with 72 class rooms and 3 community markets (2 in Kampong Thom and 1 in Phnom Penh) were established. To provide safer drinking water, well waters from 1,840 wells were tested. 3,500 family toilets and 22 public latrines were also provided. 2.31 Health and sanitation in rural areas: In 2006, safe drinking water was additionally supplied to 71 districts in 23 provinces/municipalities. 1344 of all types of water supply wells were constructed and 610 of all types of wells were repaired. For this purpose, rural communities in water scarce areas were also provided with 18 ponds. 2.32 Development of rural economy: Low-interest-rate micro-credits of 5,214 million riels and 2,000 US dollars were given to rural people. Small-scale-business credits of 8.2 million riels were also provided to develop small rural businesses. In addition, rice and animal banks were operational to help poor people. Small scale irrigation systems were also constructed to supply water for agriculture. A new dam of 1,680m, 21 canals of 39,510m was constructed and 4 water gates were built. 26 canals with the length of 39,510m were repaired. Table 2.3: 2010 Targets for Rural Development
2.33 This RS growth rectangle covers: (a) further construction of transport infrastructure; (b) management of water resources and irrigation; (c) development of energy sector and electricity network; and (d) development of information and communications technology. The improvements achieved in these four areas have impacted positively on other social and economic sectors like education, health, tourism, trade, rural development as well as in integration into the region and the world. 2.34 The major developments in physical infrastructure (including transport infrastructure and urban water supply) in 2006 were:
2.35 Concerted efforts and investments in water resource management and irrigation in 2006 resulted in significant achievements as follows:
2.36 The major developments in energy sector and electricity and in oil and gas in 2006 were:
2.37 The major developments in information and communication technology in 2006 are:
Rectangle 3: Private Sector Development and Employment Generation 2.38 The four pillars of this rectangle are: (a) strengthening the private sector and attracting investments; (b) promotion of SMEs; (c) job creation and better working conditions; and (d) social safety net for workers. The progress so far made towards achieving these priorities has significantly contributed to the recent developments in other sectors and to the enhancement of socio-economic conditions of rural population especially the poor. 2.39 The major development in strengthening the private sector and attracting investments in 2006 are:
2.40 The further developments of SMEs have contributed to benefiting rural communities in processing and adding value to products, as well as creating employment. These developments have also created an important link with the development of trade sector, as well as with larger enterprises. 2.41 Employment creation and better working conditions is a long-term goal of RGC aiming at enhancing the living standards of the population and ultimately alleviating poverty and accelerating economic growth. RGC has played a crucial role in creating job opportunity for all Cambodians especially the poor. With RGC’s assistance, 39,075 Cambodians have secured jobs in- and outside the country in 2006 (35,439 domestic; 3,636 in other countries) compared to the 2005 figure of 22,830 (20,550 domestic; 2,278 in other countries). Technical vocational education and training networks have been established to serve both men and women equitably, especially those who are poor, disabled and vulnerable groups and to respond to labour market needs. In 2006, 10,686 students graduated from public technical vocational education and training institutions (not including the figures of students trained at NGO and private training centres), increasing from the 2005 figure of 9,073 students. A survey on gender disparities in vocational training was conducted in many provinces and municipalities and gender mainstreaming in the curriculum of technical and vocational training has started. Safe, proper and hygienic workplace conditions and fair and just contractual terms for the labour force, including setting minimum wage and holidays, reducing inequality in wages between men and women, resolution of disputes and disagreements through peaceful means without causing disruption to production and loss of wages to employees, have been constantly addressed and ensured. Efforts in reducing the proportion of child labour for dangerous jobs have been carried out through various projects/programmes and policy measures. 16,000 children have been provided with informal education and vocational training. A five-year plan on the elimination of the severest form of child labour, 2006-2012 and other regulations pertaining to child labour and labour-related issues have been formulated and drafted. 2.42 Tourism: This sector is second only to the garment industry in boosting economic growth and in providing employment to a large number of Cambodians in numerous related fields -- hospitality, transport and others. Tourism has been growing at an exponential rate in the recent years. RGC’s continued efforts in implementing the tourism policies based on the basic principles articulated in the NSDP (the implementation of an open sky policy, strengthening intra-regional tourism, strengthening capacity to tackle any form of tourism-related criminal activities) and in improving physical infrastructure (roads, airports, ports) as well as providing a climate of peace and law and order have resulted in the remarkable progress of this sector. Cambodia received 1,700,041 international visitors in 2006, an increase of 19.59% over the 2005 figure, contributing an estimated foreign exchange earning of US$ 1,049 million and to generation of 250,000 jobs. 2.43 Among the challenges ahead are: the further improvement of physical infrastructure connecting to major tourist destinations; strengthening promotion measures and legal framework for handling tourist services; attracting tourists to more and diverse destinations, including eco-tourism, since it is largely confined to Siem Reap now (the recent opening of an upgraded Sihanoukville airport is a step in this direction); and also better addressing the issue of spreading the benefit of tourism spending to local companies and providers of goods and services, instead of bulk of the revenue being repatriated or used to purchase goods from abroad. 2.44 Social Safety Nets: Clearly targeted social sector interventions are critical to provide safety nets to the most vulnerable. The major developments in 2006 are:
Rectangle 4: Capacity Building and Human Resource Development 2.45 The last, but not the least, of the "growth" rectangles of RS covers predominantly social sectors, viz., Education, Health, Gender Equality and Population issues. 2.46 Education: Education is a necessary and critical element for human development and poverty reduction. Strategies and priorities to address challenges in education sector are explicitly articulated in the Education Strategic Plan (ESP), 2006-2010. Improved state of education sector in the school year 2005-2006 has revealed the RGC’s efforts in pursuing the priorities of education reform programme as articulated in ESP 2006-2010 and Education Sector Support Programme (ESSP), 2006-2010 with the aim of achieving the National Plan for Education for All, 2003-2015. Significant progress has been achieved in the recent past in the realisation of the major priorities of ESP 2006-2010 especially in increases in number of primary and lower secondary schools, in enrolment level in lower secondary education (enabling the completion of basic education up to standard 9), and in adult literacy (15-24). Nevertheless, it is recognised that there are still gaps relating to the availability of all the educational facilities for providing education services to children from the very poor households and households in remote areas. Table 2.4 shows the latest data of this sector. Table 2.4: Education Sector: Key Goals and Targets
2.47 The major variations in 2006 are:
2.48 The goals and priorities set for the education sector in the NSDP continue to remain valid and will be vigorously pursued through the ESP, 2006-2010. As a priority sector under PFM, allocations and utilisation from the national budget have increased both in absolute and relative terms. 2.49 Health: The 2005 Cambodia Demographic and Health Survey (CDHS) was nationally representative study conducted according to rigorous international standards. Its purpose was to provide updated and reliable data on fertility, family planning, infant and child mortality, maternal and child health, nutrition, malaria, knowledge of HIV/AIDS, prevalence of HIV, women’s status and domestic violence. It was also the first survey in Cambodia to provide population-based prevalence estimates for HIV. Its findings, preliminarily released from later half of 2006, have updated and/or changed the 2005 baseline data for important health indicators assumed in preparing the NSDP. Table 2.5 below presents the latest data: Table 2.5: Health Sector: Priority Goals and Targets
Prevalence of smear positive TB, per 100,000 population=269 per 100,000 population (source: National TB Prevalence Survey in Cambodia 2002) 2.50 CDHS 2005 notes that, while there are clear variations between urban and remote or rural areas, the gross national averages indicate that:
2.51 Among other important developments during 2006 were: The Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSP 2003-2007) is being implemented in close cooperation with all EDPs; the implementation of Minimum Package of Activities (MPA) is progressing well; the number of health centres providing full MPA increased to 439 in 2006; the number of referral hospitals with Complementary Package of Activities increased and the Equity Fund for poor patients are now being provided in 25 districts, up from 17 in 2004; the malaria cases treated at public health facilities have declined form 7.3 per thousand in 2005 to 5.1 in 2006; budget allocations and disbursement for the health sector have registered growth and stability; about 130 NGOs are involved in supporting the health sector, majority of them operating in remote areas. 2.52 RGC attaches the greatest importance to promoting good health and nutrition and prevention, timely detection and treatment of diseases among the population as a means of human development, so essential for any other sustainable progress. The goals and priorities set for the health sector in the NSDP continue to remain valid and will be vigorously pursued through the HSP, 2003-2007. Allocations from the national budget, both in absolute and relative terms, will continue to increase under the PFM. 2.53 HIV/AIDS: Apart from showing significantly lower level of infection than originally estimated (decreasing to 0.6% from earlier estimates of 1.9% in the age group 15-49), the CDHS 2005 also confirms that RGC’s advocacy, educational and promotional programmes have yielded very encouraging results., e.g., HIV/AIDs awareness levels in the population are very high and more than 80% of women and men of age 15-49 know the three major methods of preventing HIV infection. The well-integrated programmes for HIV/AIDs awareness creation, prevention, testing, advocacy and support services and provision of supplies involving all stakeholders in a highly coordinated manner will continue. 2.54 Gender equity: Gender imbalances and proactive promotion of women’s rights and equal place in all spheres of development are foremost in the agenda for progress in Cambodia through pursuit and implementation of the Strategic Plan for Women, called Neary Rattanak which embraces all sectors. 2.55 In 2006, vigorous efforts were made to promote gender mainstreaming in the entire spectrum of Cambodian society, including in national policies and programmes, sectoral plans and community development planning and budgeting. These and other efforts for enhancing the rights and role of women in Cambodia will continue to be pursued earnestly. The national capacity to make analysis on gender equity is still limited. This requires firm commitment and close collaboration among all stakeholders. Some important developments were:
2.56 RGC’s pro-active and well-orchestrated Population Policy involves actions in many sectors such as health, education, environment, macro economy, gender, emigrations, youth, aging people, and others. The RGC is developing the capacity of human resources for integrating population-related issues in the development planning processes at all levels for planners and policy makers. CDHS 2005 has provided updated data showing positive results of implementation of this policy. Remarkable developments are as follow:
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