1.01 The
National Strategic Development Plan (NSDP) for 2006-2010, endorsed by the
Council of Ministers on 27 January 2006 and receiving the formal approval
of His Majesty the King of Cambodia on 23 June 2006, is considered the
single, overarching document that outlines RGC's priority goals and
strategies to reduce poverty rapidly, and to achieve other CMDGs and
socio-economic development goals for the benefit of all Cambodians. It
operationalises the Rectangular Strategy to achieve intended goals.
1.02 The
NSDP, as a live instrument, is to be updated and revised as development
progresses as monitored through annual assessments carried out every year.
The present document contains the Annual Progress Report on the
implementation of NSDP during 2006. To be referred to as NSDP-APR, 2006,
this document updates all data contained in the NSDP for the base year
2005 and as forecast for the five years 2006-2010. It outlines and
analyses progress and projections both in quantitative and qualitative
terms.
1.03 The
main objectives of the NSDP-APR are to:
-
Assess, review and articulate the progress made or shortfalls
encountered in implementing the NSDP in all its aspects during 2006,
along with analysis of causes for success or failure.
-
Inform policy makers, EDPs and the Cambodian public in general about
such progress or lack thereof.
-
Serve as a “State of the Nation” annual record to provide a ‘snapshot’
of Cambodia, which could be of use as a reference and resource document
to a wide range of stakeholders interested in Cambodia including for
investors interested in investment in Cambodia.
1.04 The
NSDP-APR provides, at appropriate places, the following:
-
Progress in implementing key strategies and actions in various sectors
outlined in NSDP, in particular preparation of sector plans at the
national and sub-national levels, where they do not exist at present.
-
Assessment of progress made in achieving selected core indicators of
NSDP (Table 3.2 of NSDP).
-
The degree of alignment of pledges and disbursements by the external
development partners with sectoral priorities targeted in the NSDP
(Table 5.2 of NSDP).
-
Recommendations and proposed adjustments to the NSDP.
1.05 The
important features of NSDP-APR are:
-
The document covers a whole spectrum of matters – political, governance,
economic and social – with special emphasis on poverty alleviation and
achievement of CMDGs.
-
The APR like the NSDP is RGC-owned document. It is a very important
document and will be RGC’s position paper for the Cambodia Development
Cooperation Forum (CDCF) which will take the place of CG from 2007.
-
Since it is only an update of the NSDP progress, it does not repeat or
restate, unless there is a specific necessity to do so, all the main
objectives, principles, strategies, programmes and plans already
outlined and discussed in the NSDP
-
The document is organised along the lines of Rectangular Strategy as was
the NSDP.
-
It presents data in various tables, which will show figures anticipated
in NSDP and revisions if any.
1.06 The NSDP-APR is based upon the following:
-
Inputs from various ministries and agencies.
-
Any new findings from studies undertaken both by RGC
ministries and agencies, research organizations like CDRI, and civil
society organizations like NGOs.
-
New data emerging from various periodic surveys concluded
in 2006.
-
Close consultations with ministries and agencies and EDPs.
1.07 The most important changes since preparation of
the NSDP have been:
-
A major step in enhancing stability in governance through
a landmark constitutional amendment enabling legislative work to be
pursued through a absolute majority instead of needing 2/3rd votes which
had acted as big stumbling block hitherto.
-
The second commune elections involving all the 1,621
communes in the country, and with around 68% of the electorate casting
their votes, were concluded in early April 2007 in a peaceful, free and
fair manner, once again demonstrating that democracy is proactively
promoted by Cambodians and has taken strong roots in the country
becoming part of its political and social fabric.
-
Economic growth in terms of GDP at constant prices almost
doubled, surging from an earlier estimated 7% to 13.4 % for 2005,
contributed by an increase in agriculture, garment industry,
construction, and tourism in particular by a phenomenal increase in
figures for agricultural production.
-
Very high growth in agriculture (crops) of
28.01in 2005 against 8.0%
assumed in NSDP, facilitated both by returns from investments in
irrigation and very favourable weather conditions.
-
Tourism arrivals were 1.7 million in 2006, up from 1.3
million in 2005.
-
Over all and widespread improvements in other sectors as
well though because of the commanding predominance of growth in
agriculture, the share of other sectors in GDP declined compared to
previous estimates.
-
Because of these changes, adjustments have been made for
all other macro-economic data for 2006 through to 2010, including for
fiscal projections.
-
Final results emerging from the 2005 CDHS have
re-affirmed that the proactive and targeted policies, plans and
programmes undertaken by RGC have yielded very positive results in the
health sector. Of particular note is the current HIV prevalence rate
based on CDHS 2005 is 0.6% for adults aged 15-49, about 70% lower than
the previous estimates of 1.9%.
-
A well-thought out and flexible Monitoring Framework has
been set in place for closely and regularly monitoring progress under
NSDP.
-
The prospects of successful exploitation and utilisation
of gas and natural resources have brightened future prospects
significantly.
-
NSDP has been disseminated at various sub-regional
levels.
1.08 Initial estimates, to be refined in the first half
of 2007 as full data emerge from all sectors, indicate a robust growth for
2006 as well. GDP is expected to have grown at a very robust 10.8% over
and above the enormous surge in 2005. Per capita income increased from
1.86 million Riels in 2005 to 2.10 million Riels in 2006 with inflation
kept well under control. Such per capita increase reflects also the
increasing spread of benefits to hitherto unreached areas and people.
1.09 The Royal Government is firmly committed to the
principles outlined in its Rectangular Strategy and the NSDP in pursuing
growth for all Cambodians through economic growth and poverty reduction
efforts. The RGC’s objective and firm resolve are to accelerate and
enhance efforts to pro-actively foster, promote and vigorously pursue
policies and actions that would result in ever increasing participation of
all sections of people, in quantitative and qualitative terms, in national
governance and nation building, both as contributors and consumers. In
this regard, objectives, goals and targets of the NSDP would be pursued
with utmost commitment.
1.10 The overall aspect of the results in the NSDP
implementation in 2006 is shown in table 1.1 below:
Table 1.1: Key Indicators
of NSDP Implementation for 2006
Indicators |
2005 |
2006 (actual) |
Macroeconomic |
|
|
Real GDP % change |
13.4 |
10.8 |
GDP per capita (000 Riels) |
1,857.771 |
2,104.842 |
CPI Inflation (year-average -- % change) |
5.80 |
4.7 |
Revenue (% of GDP) |
10.6 |
11.5 |
-- of which Tax revenue (% of GDP) |
7.8 |
8.1 |
Expenditure (% of GDP) |
13.3 |
14.2 |
-- Current (% of GDP) |
7.7 |
8.0 |
Foreign Direct Investment (US $ m) |
375
|
475 |
Agriculture Sector |
|
|
Rice Production (million tons) |
5.98 |
6.26 |
Rice Yield per hectare, (tons) |
2.48 |
2.49 |
Fish catch (Inland, Marine and Aquaculture) – (Tons) |
340,000 |
505,000 |
Irrigated area including supplemental irrigation (000
ha) |
596.3 |
721.3 |
Land Reforms - no. of titles issued to farmers (% of
total of land parcels) |
15* |
17 |
Forest area (% of total land area) |
60* |
59 |
Fuel wood dependency (firewood, charcoal):
households % |
85.5* |
83.9 |
Rural Development Sector |
|
|
Rehabilitation of rural roads -- kms (out of total 28,000 kms) |
22,700* |
23,710 |
Access to Safe Drinking Water -- % of rural population |
41.6* |
42.6 |
Access to sanitation -- % of rural population |
15.7 |
15.8 |
Education Sector |
|
|
Primary School (1-6), Net Enrolment %:
Total |
91.9*
|
91.3
|
Boys |
93.0* |
93.0 |
Girls |
90.7* |
89.7 |
Lower Sec. School (7-9), Net Enrolment %
:
Total |
26.1*
|
31.3
|
Boys |
27.1* |
32.1 |
Girls |
24.8* |
30.4 |
Survival rate %: 1-6: |
53.1* |
48.2 |
Survival rate %: 1-9: |
29.3 |
26.5 |
Literacy rate - 15-24 years % |
83.4* |
84.7 |
Health Sector |
|
|
Infant Mortality Rate, per 1,000 live births |
66* |
66 |
Under five Mortality Rate, per 1,000 live births |
82* |
83 |
Maternal Mortality, per 100,000 live births |
NA |
472 |
HIV/AIDS prevalence, % of adults, 15-49
|
1.9* |
0.6 |
Malaria cases -- fatality % |
0.36* |
0.39 |
Prevalence of smear positive TB, per 100,000
population |
NA |
269 |
Notes:
The figures marked with asterisk (*) in 2005 are the estimates in NSDP and
the otherwise shown figures in 2005 are the actual data.
1.10. The following sections provide more detailed information on the
progress in 2006 and changed forescasts for the future, both in figures
and quality.
Chapter
II:
Progress in 2006 and Future Strategies and Prospects
Chapter III:
Priority Goals and Targets; Monitoring and Evaluation
Chapter IV:
Costs, Resources and Programming
Chapter V:
Conclusion
Annexes:
I:1
Cambodia: Key Macro-Economic Indicators
I:2 Cambodia: Projected Investments, 2006-2010
I:3 Cambodia: Estimated Budget Current Expenditure Allocations by
Sectors and Priority Ministries
I:4 PIP, 2006-2008: Table I: Summary by Sectors
I:5 PIP, 2007-2009: Table I: Summary by Sectors
I:6 PIP, 2008-2010: Table I: Summary by Sectors
II NSDP Monitoring Framework
III Abbreviations and Acronyms
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